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Author

Jan Freihardt

Published

March 21, 2026

Project summary

Climate change is expected to induce mass-population dislocations, i.e., migration, due to droughts, sea level rise, or extreme weather events, such as stronger and more frequent storms or floods, particularly in developing countries with low capacity to protect themselves and adapt to climate change (Black et al. 2011). However, recent studies on climate change induced human displacement do not account for the possibility that people might adapt to changing climatic conditions (Laurice Jamero et al. 2017) . This is particularly relevant to slow-onset environmental changes, such as sea-level rise, where individuals and societies can anticipate such changes and take precautionary measures. Therefore, it is important to consider people’s perceptions of environmental changes (Koubi, Stoll, and Spilker 2016). With this project, we aim at contributing to a better understanding of whether, when, and how environmental changes lead to human migration.

References

Black, Richard, W. Neil Adger, Nigel W. Arnell, Stefan Dercon, Andrew Geddes, and David Thomas. 2011. “The Effect of Environmental Change on Human Migration.” Global Environmental Change, Migration and Global Environmental Change Review of Drivers of Migration, 21 (December): S3–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.10.001.
Koubi, Vally, Sebastian Stoll, and Gabriele Spilker. 2016. “Perceptions of Environmental Change and Migration Decisions.” Climatic Change 138 (3): 439–51. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1767-1.
Laurice Jamero, Ma, Motoharu Onuki, Miguel Esteban, Xyza Kristina Billones-Sensano, Nicholson Tan, Angelie Nellas, Hiroshi Takagi, Nguyen Danh Thao, and Ven Paolo Valenzuela. 2017. “Small-Island Communities in the Philippines Prefer Local Measures to Relocation in Response to Sea-Level Rise.” Nature Climate Change 7 (8): 581–86. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3344.